Controlling for group-level heterogeneity in causal forest

Jun 30, 2025·
Candace E. Jens
,
T. Beau Page
,
James Reeder, III
· 1 min read
Abstract
The use of causal forests to recover heterogeneous treatment effects for randomized interventions is growing. As with any estimator, controlling for group- or strata-level unobservables is necessary to recover unbiased estimates. However, there exists no proven method to control for group-level unobservables in causal forests. We provide a novel solution. We use Monte Carlo simulations and two applications to demonstrate the effectiveness of this solution and the shortcomings of a broad set of alternatives sourced from the classical econometrics and machine learning literatures. Our method greatly increases the number of settings in which unbiased, heterogeneous treatment effects are recoverable.
Type
working

SSRN